Saturday, 28 May 2016

Portfolio Update - May 2016

*As of 31 May 2016


Counter Average Price Yield on cost(%) Weightage
OCBC Bank
8.6000
4.00
24.94%
UOB Bank
18.8800
4.00
13.69%
Croesus Retail Trust
0.7843
8.00
9.10%
Capitaland Commercial
1.3429
6.15
3.89%
First REIT
1.1754
6.91
3.41%
Soilbuild Business REIT
0.7628
7.80
2.76%
Starhub
3.3200
6.00
2.41%
Keppel DC REIT
0.9919
6.56
2.16%
Cache Logistics
0.9680
8.15
2.11%
SPHREIT
0.9417
5.80
2.05%
AIMS AMP Cap REIT
1.3363
8.37
1.94%
M1
2.3600
6.00
1.71%
Ascendas Hospitality
0.7217
8.03
1.57%
Mapletree Logistics
0.9900
7.40
0.72%
Saizen REIT
0.0645
0.00
0.70%
Sheng Siong
0.8400
3.00
0.61%
IREIT Global
0.6650
9.00
0.48%
Lippo Mall REIT
0.3200
9.90
0.46%
Kingsmen Creatives
0.6250
3.00
0.45%
Far East Hospitality
0.6200
7.00
0.45%
STI ETF
2.8058
3.50
24.41%
Total

4.99
100.00%

Legend
CDP
SCB

Total Invested Capital = $13.795.50

Total Expected Dividends/month = $57.22

Average Dividend Yield = 4.99%

Once again, another month of activities in the market news segment with the slight jitters from the Federal Reserve hawkish remarks to the unconvincing US economic reports. Despite this, markets remained fairly unchanged, with slight profit taking for stocks mid month in anticipation of some risks coming from the FOMC meeting and possibly some decisions that might derail the fragile economy.

The lack of market movements, however, did not prevent an active rebalancing of my portfolio during this month. People would quote the sell in May and go away nonsense, but statistically, it has proven to be largely untrue. So stay invested, and if markets shock us to the downside, then stay even more invested, notice I emphasise the word "more". Yes, you know what I am talking about.



Some of the main changes are:

1) Reduction in Croesus Retail Trust position

The recent strength in the units have tempted me to take some profits of my largest holding in my SCB account. Anyway, I was intending to rebalance my portfolio, so what better way to reduce my heaviest position as the shares strengthen and bring it closer in line to the current exposure I have with the other units in my SCB account.

2) Addition of Capitaland Commercial Trust units

Smallish positions was incrementally added as the share prices weakened mid May. Office supply is heading for a glut in 2017, but I am betting on the proven management and solid fundamentals of this REIT to weather through the storm as I continue to collect dividends from it. This is one of the REITs I would look to increase positions should markets take a tumble similar to GFC levels, as I like the way the management has handled previous crisis.



3) Smallish addition to SPH REIT

Share prices of retail REITs weakened somewhat in May, but not to the extent of SPH REIT, as I felt that its solid balance sheet did not warrant its fall in value, picked 100 shares at $0.925. Will continue to monitor and add if it falls further.



4) Smallish position initiated for Kingsmen Creatives

This is a new addition to my portfolio, which caught my attention when the prices fell strongly after its poor financial results. I like the businesses it does but unfortunately, its businesses are strongly correlated with the strength of the economy. The weakened share price since 2015 reflects its poor earnings and dampened investor sentiment. Looking at the price chart of Kingsmen would also point to a much better margin of safety to buy now then before. PB of kingsmen is almost 1, and for service companies like Kingsmen, Neratel and the like, it is really a good bargain to buy some as a bet of value. Do note that Neratel currently trades 4x PB.



5) Full liquidation of Neratel, NOL and Ascott REIT

I have fully taken profit on Neratel as it is selling its income generating payment solution business which is the main reason for me to add to Neratel. Without this business, it would have more volatile earnings and it is more difficult to have some degree on certainty in its income. NOL has reached the agreed deal and it is only a matter of days the offer will be despatched to investors. However, I have decided to liquidate it first so that I have cash on hand to put it into other opportunities since this counter yields nothing. Ascott REIT was something I was looking to trade on strength. Prices fell strongly on the placement issue back in April, and have rebounded since. I still do not like the management fees structure and its exposure to the hospitality business is not really what I wanted as I am in the process of accumulating Ascendas Hospitality. Hence, the full liquidation of Ascott REIT.


Observant readers would have noticed that my portfolio has been reducing in value month on month. This reduction has been largely restricted to my SCB mini portfolio account which is heavy on income stocks. I am looking to reverse this by adding more income focused stocks soon, should REITs and other trusts start to fall on fears of an impending hike in interest rates.

Remember, it does not matter how much you start with, but whether you start the first step in your investment journey or not! That makes a hell lot of difference, in the eyes of compounding that is.

Monday, 2 May 2016

Portfolio Update - April 2016

*As of 30 April 2016

Counter Average Price Yield on cost(%) Weightage
OCBC Bank
8.6000
4.00
23.87%
UOB Bank
18.8800
4.00
13.10%
Croesus Retail Trust
0.7843
8.00
15.24%
First REIT
1.1754
6.91
3.26%
Soilbuild Business REIT
0.7628
7.80
2.65%
Starhub
3.3200
6.00
2.30%
Keppel DC REIT
0.9919
6.56
2.06%
Cache Logistics
0.9680
8.15
2.01%
AIMS AMP Cap REIT
1.3363
8.37
1.85%
Capitaland Commercial
1.3008
6.15
1.81%
Ascendas Hospitality
0.7217
8.03
1.50%
SPHREIT
0.9500
5.80
1.32%
Neratel
0.5800
3.44
1.21%
NOL
1.2117
0.00
0.84%
Ascott REIT
1.1100
6.34
0.77%
Mapletree Logistics
0.9900
7.40
0.69%
Saizen REIT
0.0645
0.00
0.67%
Sheng Siong
0.8400
3.00
0.58%
IREIT Global
0.6650
9.00
0.46%
Lippo Mall REIT
0.3200
9.90
0.44%
STI ETF
2.8058
3.50
23.36%
Total

5.03
100.00%


Legend
CDP
SCB

Total Invested Capital = $14,455.62

Total Expected Dividends/month = $60.41

Average Dividend Yield = 5.03%

Here is another update, so quickly another month has passed by. Well, markets pretty much didn't do much over this month, it didn't go to outrageously high levels to warrant much selling, although I did make one large sale this month. It didn't go to levels more attractive for me to make large transactions, hence its another month of limited transactions.

The largest sale I made this month reduced my overall position by almost half. It was the sale of Croesus Retail Trust after the trust price moved upwards after the news of the acquisition. I took the chance to remove the heavy position I had since the middle of 2015, as part of my rebalancing portfolio to keep it more diversified and spread out across the different industries. I had an new position I initiated last month in my SCB account on Croesus Retail Trust as part of mainly speculative position made plainly because I had predicted the price of the trust would move upwards after the knee-jerk reaction due to the placement. It will remain in my SCB account as I still feel that the trust is a good source of passive income and its dividend yield sustainable along with my faith in the management.

The liquidation of this large position allowed me a larger war-chest to accumulate positions should the market go into a correction mode in future. I will continue to make smallish positions where I see fit while continuing to save aggressively from my monthly income, continuously adding to my war-chest.


The other surprise that happened this month was the sudden news about Ascendas Hospitality not looking to sell its assets despite multiple offers from at least 3 companies. This led to a crash in the price of Ascendas, falling as low as $0.66. The rebound was swift, and I failed to purchase more, but only added a few weeks later at $0.68 when it didn't look like it would go down further. Would look to purchase more on further weaknesses if presented. I am looking forward to its 2 quarters of distribution coming in this week or the next.


I have also added another hospitality REIT, Ascott REIT, in order to boost the hospitality segment in my REIT portfolio. Furthermore, I felt that Ascott REIT share price has been suffering from overhang from the recent placement done last month. The only regret was not being able to buy right after the placement, the similar strategy I employed with Croesus, simply because I was not monitoring the market frequently enough.


In other news, I had bought back Sheng Siong again at $0.84, another smallish position, awaiting the dividend coming in May. I may consider selling it if the price is favourably high enough after it goes XD.

And once again, I will continue to stay patient, though my hands are itching to buy more income producing assets with the increased size of the current war-chest now. But noooo, I will stay disciplined and focus on buying only when there is blood in the news. Waiting for the bumper dividends coming in May!

Monday, 21 March 2016

Portfolio Update - March 2016

*As of 21 March 2016

Counter Average Price Yield on cost(%) Weightage
Croesus Retail Trust
0.8472
8.47
45.13%
OCBC Bank
8.6000
4.00
14.78%
UOB Bank
18.8800
4.00
8.11%
Saizen REIT
1.0013
5.99
1.72%
Soilbuild Business REIT
0.7628
8.46
1.64%
First REIT
1.1754
6.91
1.52%
Starhub
3.3200
6.00
1.43%
Croesus Retail Trust
0.8100
8.88
1.39%
Keppel DC REIT
0.9919
6.56
1.28%
Cache Logistics
0.9680
8.15
1.25%
AIMS AMP Cap REIT
1.3363
8.37
1.15%
Capitaland Commercial
1.3008
6.15
1.12%
Ho Bee Land
1.9800
2.50
0.85%
SPHREIT
0.9500
5.80
0.82%
Fraser Centrepoint
1.8550
6.19
0.80%
Neratel
0.5800
3.44
0.75%
NOL
1.2117
0.00
0.52%
Mapletree Logistics
0.9900
7.40
0.43%
Ascendas Hospitality
0.7350
7.89
0.32%
IREIT Global
0.6650
9.00
0.29%
Lippo Mall REIT
0.3200
9.90
0.27%
STI ETF
2.8058
3.50
14.46%
Total

6.38
100.00%

Legend
CDP
SCB

Total Invested Capital = $23,464.65

Total Expected Dividends/month = $123

Average Dividend Yield = 6.38%

I missed updating my portfolio in February, but I'll just do a quick one for the end of March, since right now, my portfolio transactions have pretty much stagnated as there is much lesser attractive positions to initiate ever since the start of the mini-rally over the past month or so. I would prefer to just sit back and just relax until the next blood bath arrives. The economic fundamentals have not changed, and fear is still pretty much in the market right now, its just now that the fear has been put aside and the market is looking for even the slightest reason for cheer to rally on the news. I am not saying for sure the market will crash even lower than before, hell, I wouldn't want that to happen either, even though I am prepared for if it were to happen of course.

Not much changes to my portfolio right now, only notable changes was the buying back of Ascendas Hospitality again when it suddenly went to $0.73 which I believed (and rightly so) was unsustainable. The only regret was not buying more, but the idea then was to buy more only if it went lower than my cost price, but it didn't.

The largest position I added in this month was Starhub, which I felt was at a reasonable valuation than the high $4++ earlier last year. Assuming dividends are to be sustained, as promised by the management, I would receive a 6% yield, pretty good I feel. However, I am prepared for a decline in dividends as it is clear that the current cash flow generation from its operations are not enough to cover its dividends. Market is currently expecting this given the persistent share price weakness in the stock. If prices were to correct heavily again, I would look to increase my positions. Since its pretty expensive as compared to the REITs, I would prefer to enter again only when it corrects by a large margin, that is why I emphasised on the word "heavily".

I had also took another smallish position on Neratel at $0.55, as prices came crashing down due to the cut in dividends, which was pretty large cut I felt. But currently, I think valuations for Neratel is much more attractive, despite it offering only a miserly 3.5%, based on my assumption that it pays 2 cents for the annual dividend, which I think should be the worst case scenario. 3.5% is pretty low compared to REITs and even telcos, but Neratel is still in a net cash position, despite spending heavily on capex, which is to be expected for the industry the company is in. The company I believe is trying to reduce the amount of cash removed to the company as it prepares for more capex whenever needed. I still believe in the company's growth prospects but still not too comfortable to take large positions on this counter just yet.

I have also accumulated another smallish position of OCBC at $7.86 as the results it has announced earlier in February was pleasing, which proved that the poorer results earlier last quarter was a one-off weakness. This brings my average price to around $8.60. This shall be it for now, I will only consider adding to positions if prices fall to below $7, which is unlikely in the short term unless shocking news like the subprime mortgage crisis back in 2008 were to show up again. Meantime, I am happy with my entry price.

On a side note, Saizen REIT has already dished out the full cost of my position in one dividend payout, payable on 29 March. This means that my largest position in the SCB account has been liquidated, as whatever is trading in the market are purely profits at the moment. Thus, the amount invested in income producing positions in my SCB has been reduced by quite a bit, and I am currently looking for other stocks to cover the shortfall. Starhub was one of the considerations in this case, partly the reason why I initiated the position.

For now, I would be simply sitting on my a** at the moment while playing the waiting game with the market. Do remember, patience is one of the greatest virtue when it comes to investing in the stock market.