Monday, 2 May 2016

Portfolio Update - April 2016

*As of 30 April 2016

Counter Average Price Yield on cost(%) Weightage
OCBC Bank
8.6000
4.00
23.87%
UOB Bank
18.8800
4.00
13.10%
Croesus Retail Trust
0.7843
8.00
15.24%
First REIT
1.1754
6.91
3.26%
Soilbuild Business REIT
0.7628
7.80
2.65%
Starhub
3.3200
6.00
2.30%
Keppel DC REIT
0.9919
6.56
2.06%
Cache Logistics
0.9680
8.15
2.01%
AIMS AMP Cap REIT
1.3363
8.37
1.85%
Capitaland Commercial
1.3008
6.15
1.81%
Ascendas Hospitality
0.7217
8.03
1.50%
SPHREIT
0.9500
5.80
1.32%
Neratel
0.5800
3.44
1.21%
NOL
1.2117
0.00
0.84%
Ascott REIT
1.1100
6.34
0.77%
Mapletree Logistics
0.9900
7.40
0.69%
Saizen REIT
0.0645
0.00
0.67%
Sheng Siong
0.8400
3.00
0.58%
IREIT Global
0.6650
9.00
0.46%
Lippo Mall REIT
0.3200
9.90
0.44%
STI ETF
2.8058
3.50
23.36%
Total

5.03
100.00%


Legend
CDP
SCB

Total Invested Capital = $14,455.62

Total Expected Dividends/month = $60.41

Average Dividend Yield = 5.03%

Here is another update, so quickly another month has passed by. Well, markets pretty much didn't do much over this month, it didn't go to outrageously high levels to warrant much selling, although I did make one large sale this month. It didn't go to levels more attractive for me to make large transactions, hence its another month of limited transactions.

The largest sale I made this month reduced my overall position by almost half. It was the sale of Croesus Retail Trust after the trust price moved upwards after the news of the acquisition. I took the chance to remove the heavy position I had since the middle of 2015, as part of my rebalancing portfolio to keep it more diversified and spread out across the different industries. I had an new position I initiated last month in my SCB account on Croesus Retail Trust as part of mainly speculative position made plainly because I had predicted the price of the trust would move upwards after the knee-jerk reaction due to the placement. It will remain in my SCB account as I still feel that the trust is a good source of passive income and its dividend yield sustainable along with my faith in the management.

The liquidation of this large position allowed me a larger war-chest to accumulate positions should the market go into a correction mode in future. I will continue to make smallish positions where I see fit while continuing to save aggressively from my monthly income, continuously adding to my war-chest.


The other surprise that happened this month was the sudden news about Ascendas Hospitality not looking to sell its assets despite multiple offers from at least 3 companies. This led to a crash in the price of Ascendas, falling as low as $0.66. The rebound was swift, and I failed to purchase more, but only added a few weeks later at $0.68 when it didn't look like it would go down further. Would look to purchase more on further weaknesses if presented. I am looking forward to its 2 quarters of distribution coming in this week or the next.


I have also added another hospitality REIT, Ascott REIT, in order to boost the hospitality segment in my REIT portfolio. Furthermore, I felt that Ascott REIT share price has been suffering from overhang from the recent placement done last month. The only regret was not being able to buy right after the placement, the similar strategy I employed with Croesus, simply because I was not monitoring the market frequently enough.


In other news, I had bought back Sheng Siong again at $0.84, another smallish position, awaiting the dividend coming in May. I may consider selling it if the price is favourably high enough after it goes XD.

And once again, I will continue to stay patient, though my hands are itching to buy more income producing assets with the increased size of the current war-chest now. But noooo, I will stay disciplined and focus on buying only when there is blood in the news. Waiting for the bumper dividends coming in May!

Monday, 21 March 2016

Portfolio Update - March 2016

*As of 21 March 2016

Counter Average Price Yield on cost(%) Weightage
Croesus Retail Trust
0.8472
8.47
45.13%
OCBC Bank
8.6000
4.00
14.78%
UOB Bank
18.8800
4.00
8.11%
Saizen REIT
1.0013
5.99
1.72%
Soilbuild Business REIT
0.7628
8.46
1.64%
First REIT
1.1754
6.91
1.52%
Starhub
3.3200
6.00
1.43%
Croesus Retail Trust
0.8100
8.88
1.39%
Keppel DC REIT
0.9919
6.56
1.28%
Cache Logistics
0.9680
8.15
1.25%
AIMS AMP Cap REIT
1.3363
8.37
1.15%
Capitaland Commercial
1.3008
6.15
1.12%
Ho Bee Land
1.9800
2.50
0.85%
SPHREIT
0.9500
5.80
0.82%
Fraser Centrepoint
1.8550
6.19
0.80%
Neratel
0.5800
3.44
0.75%
NOL
1.2117
0.00
0.52%
Mapletree Logistics
0.9900
7.40
0.43%
Ascendas Hospitality
0.7350
7.89
0.32%
IREIT Global
0.6650
9.00
0.29%
Lippo Mall REIT
0.3200
9.90
0.27%
STI ETF
2.8058
3.50
14.46%
Total

6.38
100.00%

Legend
CDP
SCB

Total Invested Capital = $23,464.65

Total Expected Dividends/month = $123

Average Dividend Yield = 6.38%

I missed updating my portfolio in February, but I'll just do a quick one for the end of March, since right now, my portfolio transactions have pretty much stagnated as there is much lesser attractive positions to initiate ever since the start of the mini-rally over the past month or so. I would prefer to just sit back and just relax until the next blood bath arrives. The economic fundamentals have not changed, and fear is still pretty much in the market right now, its just now that the fear has been put aside and the market is looking for even the slightest reason for cheer to rally on the news. I am not saying for sure the market will crash even lower than before, hell, I wouldn't want that to happen either, even though I am prepared for if it were to happen of course.

Not much changes to my portfolio right now, only notable changes was the buying back of Ascendas Hospitality again when it suddenly went to $0.73 which I believed (and rightly so) was unsustainable. The only regret was not buying more, but the idea then was to buy more only if it went lower than my cost price, but it didn't.

The largest position I added in this month was Starhub, which I felt was at a reasonable valuation than the high $4++ earlier last year. Assuming dividends are to be sustained, as promised by the management, I would receive a 6% yield, pretty good I feel. However, I am prepared for a decline in dividends as it is clear that the current cash flow generation from its operations are not enough to cover its dividends. Market is currently expecting this given the persistent share price weakness in the stock. If prices were to correct heavily again, I would look to increase my positions. Since its pretty expensive as compared to the REITs, I would prefer to enter again only when it corrects by a large margin, that is why I emphasised on the word "heavily".

I had also took another smallish position on Neratel at $0.55, as prices came crashing down due to the cut in dividends, which was pretty large cut I felt. But currently, I think valuations for Neratel is much more attractive, despite it offering only a miserly 3.5%, based on my assumption that it pays 2 cents for the annual dividend, which I think should be the worst case scenario. 3.5% is pretty low compared to REITs and even telcos, but Neratel is still in a net cash position, despite spending heavily on capex, which is to be expected for the industry the company is in. The company I believe is trying to reduce the amount of cash removed to the company as it prepares for more capex whenever needed. I still believe in the company's growth prospects but still not too comfortable to take large positions on this counter just yet.

I have also accumulated another smallish position of OCBC at $7.86 as the results it has announced earlier in February was pleasing, which proved that the poorer results earlier last quarter was a one-off weakness. This brings my average price to around $8.60. This shall be it for now, I will only consider adding to positions if prices fall to below $7, which is unlikely in the short term unless shocking news like the subprime mortgage crisis back in 2008 were to show up again. Meantime, I am happy with my entry price.

On a side note, Saizen REIT has already dished out the full cost of my position in one dividend payout, payable on 29 March. This means that my largest position in the SCB account has been liquidated, as whatever is trading in the market are purely profits at the moment. Thus, the amount invested in income producing positions in my SCB has been reduced by quite a bit, and I am currently looking for other stocks to cover the shortfall. Starhub was one of the considerations in this case, partly the reason why I initiated the position.

For now, I would be simply sitting on my a** at the moment while playing the waiting game with the market. Do remember, patience is one of the greatest virtue when it comes to investing in the stock market.

Wednesday, 3 February 2016

Portfolio Update - January 2016

*As of 31 January 2016

Counter Average Price Yield on cost(%) Weightage
Croesus Retail Trust
0.8472
8.47
47.16%
OCBC Bank
9.0500
4.00
12.19%
UOB Bank
18.8800
4.00
8.47%
Saizen REIT
1.0013
5.99
1.80%
Keppel DC REIT
0.9919
6.56
1.78%
Soilbuild Business REIT
0.7628
8.46
1.71%
First REIT
1.1822
6.91
1.59%
Croesus Retail Trust
0.8100
8.88
1.45%
Cache Logistics
0.9680
8.15
1.30%
AIMS AMP Cap REIT
1.3363
8.37
1.20%
Capitaland Commercial
1.3008
6.15
1.17%
Ho Bee Land
1.9800
2.50
0.89%
SPHREIT
0.9500
5.80
0.85%
Fraser Centrepoint
1.8550
6.19
0.83%
NOL
1.2117
0.00
0.54%
Neratel
0.5950
6.84
0.53%
Mapletree Logistics
0.9900
7.40
0.44%
Sheng Siong
0.8450
3.84
0.38%
IREIT Global
0.6650
9.00
0.30%
Lippo Mall REIT
0.3200
9.90
0.29%
STI ETF
2.8058
3.50
15.11%
Total

6.50
100.00%


Legend
CDP
SCB

Total Invested Capital = $22,534.31

Total Expected Dividends/month = $122

Average Dividend Yield = 6.50%

In a blink of an eye, the first month of 2016 has come and gone. During this volatile month, which saw most of the action coming from the actions of the Chinese government trying to stave off volatility in its markets by introducing circuit breaker which would halt stock trading across the board, in an attempt to 'control' the market like they have tried many times before but the result was the same, failing spectacularly to calm markets. The backfire was because of the increased uncertainty of the markets which this trading halts, which exacerbated the situation as the China stock market, dominated by retail investors, rushed to sell off their risky stocks. The fear spread quickly and the whole market collapsed within minutes.

But we should not be alarmed, as such actions are temporary and governments are learning their mistakes, would seek to rectify their ways, or so I would believe. Abenomics has more or less failed, and we know recently the Japanese government has proceeded to set the benchmark interest rates into negative territory! Which such bad news stemming out from every region, it is the right chance for people starting out in their investing journey. The moment could not be any better, or so I believe, markets can still get cheaper, so don't take my word for it. But start small, and take small nibbles into the market as much as you can stomach the losses which would come. Slow and steady as you go. There is no rush to catch multiple falling knives.

Speaking of which, this month has seen myself continuing to scoop up the STI ETF at my target prices. I have not bought all stipulated in my shopping list, but at least a few of my orders went through. I also tweaked my portfolio a little bit, by selling some stronger counters and buying back if they fell back to below or my original cost price. Some of this are Keppel DC REIT, First REIT and Fraser Centerpoint. I have managed to buy back the shares for Keppel DC and First REIT after they went XD and fell further, but for Fraser Centerpoint I have yet to buy back my shares as it has not fallen low enough for me to be interested to increase my positions again.

I have also quite a large exposure to industrial REITs, so I would no longer be increasing positions in them in the meantime. For now, I have identified some REITs which I would be focussing on accumulating if prices were to fall further. These are Capitaland Commercial Trust, Fraser Centrepoint Trust, First REIT and Keppel DC REIT. All four REITS possesses low gearing and relatively low interest costs as well as interest coverage on the higher side. Most of the management of these REITs have proven themselves for more than 5 years, the only exception is newbie Keppel DC REIT. I have decided to add Keppel DC REIT has the balance sheet have shown themselves to be of high quality, the only things I am not so happy about would be the premium over book value and its low yield. But I have decided to give them a chance to prove themselves, meantime, I will continue to collect their dividends.

On a side note, I have increased positions in Saizen REIT in anticipation of their results release and dividend announcement soon. Should prices continue to fall, I will be there to accumulate as we are more or less sure that the buyer of Saizen REIT assets would be paying at least $1.10 per unit, this is on top of the dividend it should be dishing out soon.

For now, my focus would be the 4 stated REITs and STI ETF, should the market provide me the opportunity to accumulate further.